By Sean Smith, Managing Partner, Search Fund Ventures
TL;DR — A decade of SMB acquisition data shows average purchase multiples fell to 4.3x EBITDA in 2025, down from a 6.7x peak in 2017. The TTM-vs-3-year-average spread has compressed to 0.3x, signaling buyers are no longer paying up for short-term performance bumps. Despite growing interest in small business acquisitions, the data does not point to a peak — it points to a buyer's market.

What the Data Shows
We spend a lot of time at Search Fund Ventures thinking about where the SMB M&A market is today. The past decade of purchase multiples tells an interesting story:
- 2017 was the peak. Average EV / EBITDA hit 6.7x, with the EV / 3-Year Average EBITDA reaching 7.7x — the strongest year for sellers in the dataset.
- Multiples have compressed meaningfully post-2021. From a near-term high of 5.9x in 2021, average multiples have fallen each year, landing at 4.3x in 2025.
- The TTM vs. 3-Year spread peaked at 1.1x in 2023. That gap signaled buyers were paying up for recent performance and businesses had experienced rapid growth in the trailing 3-year period — likely a reflection of the post-COVID demand surge across many essential service categories.
- That spread has narrowed to 0.3x in 2025. Earnings have stabilized, and buyers are no longer underwriting growth-rate optimism into entry pricing.
It's worth noting the dataset includes businesses doing $500K–$5M in EBITDA, with roughly 50% below $1M and the remainder above. This is the heart of the lower middle market — the segment most relevant to self-funded search investors, independent sponsors, and small-cap private equity firms. For the most recent quarter-by-quarter breakdown, see our 5 takeaways from SFV's Q2 2025 Closed Deals Report.
Why Multiples Compressed (And Why It Matters)
The compression from 6.7x to 4.3x is not random. Several structural forces are converging:
Cost of capital normalized. The 2015–2021 era of cheap debt inflated multiples across every asset class, and SMB was no exception. As rates rose, leveraged buyers had to underwrite more conservatively. Less debt capacity at the same equity check translates directly into lower entry prices.
Demographic supply is overwhelming buyer demand. As we wrote in The Silver Tsunami, more than 10 million baby boomer-owned businesses are heading toward transition, and the buyer pool has not grown proportionally. When supply outpaces demand, multiples compress. This is what we are seeing in the data.
Sellers are recalibrating expectations. The TTM vs. 3-year-average spread tells the clearest story here. In 2023, buyers paid 1.1x more for recent earnings than for the smoother 3-year picture — meaning sellers were getting credit for the COVID-era bounce. By 2025, that premium has all but disappeared. Buyers are paying for normalized earnings, not for last year's print.
Quality dispersion is widening. As more businesses come to market, the gap between A-tier and B-tier assets has widened. Top-quartile businesses with recurring revenue and clean financials still trade at premium multiples. Average and below-average businesses are increasingly stuck — and that's pulling the average down.

